@arzachel Nothing new. 1) 100% of scientists understand that PCR does not show the active stage of the disease. 2) The situation with doctors is worse. Only 20% of doctors give the correct answer to the problem: with prevalence 1%, test sensitivity 90%, test specificity 91%, what is the probability that a person who receives a positive result is sick (the correct answer is 9% (known as positive predictive value)) (Gerd Gigerenzer 2005-2006 experiment) 3) The situation with politicians - nothing new, they need power and money.
1) 100% of scientists understand that PCR does not show the active stage of the disease.
2) The situation with doctors is worse. Only 20% of doctors give the correct answer to the problem: with prevalence 1%, test sensitivity 90%, test specificity 91%, what is the probability that a person who receives a positive result is sick (the correct answer is 9% (known as positive predictive value)) (Gerd Gigerenzer 2005-2006 experiment)
3) The situation with politicians - nothing new, they need power and money.